THE IMPACT OF THE ENERGY TRANSITION ON CHINA'S ECONOMY UNDER THE CARBON PEAKING AND CARBON NEUTRALITY GOALS

doi:10.2298/TSCI2205043L

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	THE IMPACT OF THE ENERGY TRANSITION ON CHINA'S ECONOMY UNDER THE CARBON PEAKING AND CARBON NEUTRALITY GOALS
	Lu, Yachen 1,2; Dai, Jiaquan 1,2; Wang, Lining 1,2; Liu, Yu3 ; Wu, Chunfang 1,2
发表期刊	THERMAL SCIENCE
关键词	carbon peaking carbon neutrality energy transition CGE model macro-economy
摘要	With the acceleration of the global response to climate change, China announced to the world in 2020 the goals of carbon peaking by 2030 and carbon neutrality by 2060, which reflects its firm determination implement Intended Nationally Deter-mined Contributions. Energy transition is the key to achieving the carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals. It is of great theoretical and practical significance to study the impact of low carbon energy transition on China's macro-economy under the carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals. Based on three carbon neutrality scenarios, this paper uses the dynamic computable general equilibrium model to simulate and estimate the impact of different energy transition pathways on China's macro-economy. The results show that under the carbon peaking and carbon neutrality target, accelerating energy transition will have a certain nega-tive impact on China's economic growth, and different energy transition pathways have different impacts on the macro-economy. The sustainable transformation sce-nario that promotes energy transformation through the carbon tax policy to ad-just carbon emission intensity and the renewable energy incentive policy to reduce costs has the least negative impact on the macro-economy, promoting employment growth, and optimizing industrial structure to a certain extent in the process of energy transformation. In conclusion, relevant policy recommendations are put forward for the achievement of the carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals, and the promotion of high quality economic development.
	2022
卷号	26 期号:5 页码:4043
ISSN	0354-9836
文章类型	Article
DOI	10.2298/TSCI2205043L
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Thermodynamics
WOS类目	Thermodynamics
WOS记录号	WOS:000879518300002
引用统计
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://ir.casisd.cn/handle/190111/12074
专题	可持续发展战略研究所
作者单位	1.China Univ Petr, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing, Peoples R China 2.CNPC Econ & Technol Res Inst, Beijing, Peoples R China 3.China Natl Petr Corp, Key Lab Oil & Gas Market Simulat & Price Forecast, Beijing, Peoples R China 4.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Sci & Dev, Beijing, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Lu, Yachen,Dai, Jiaquan,Wang, Lining,et al. THE IMPACT OF THE ENERGY TRANSITION ON CHINA'S ECONOMY UNDER THE CARBON PEAKING AND CARBON NEUTRALITY GOALS[J]. THERMAL SCIENCE,2022,26(5):4043.
APA	Lu, Yachen,Dai, Jiaquan,Wang, Lining,Liu, Yu,&Wu, Chunfang.(2022).THE IMPACT OF THE ENERGY TRANSITION ON CHINA'S ECONOMY UNDER THE CARBON PEAKING AND CARBON NEUTRALITY GOALS.THERMAL SCIENCE,26(5),4043.
MLA	Lu, Yachen,et al."THE IMPACT OF THE ENERGY TRANSITION ON CHINA'S ECONOMY UNDER THE CARBON PEAKING AND CARBON NEUTRALITY GOALS".THERMAL SCIENCE 26.5(2022):4043.