Knowledge Management System of Institutes of Science and Development ,CAS
| Reinspecting the Climate-Crop Yields Relationship at a Finer Scale and the Climate Damage Evaluation: Evidence from China | |
Zhu, Yongbin ; Shi, Yajuan; Liu, Changxin; Lyu, Bing; Wang, Zhenbo
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| 发表期刊 | COMPLEXITY
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| 摘要 | This paper reinvestigated the climate-crop yield relationship with the statistical model at crops' growing stage scale. Compared to previous studies, our model introduced monthly climate variables in the production function of crops, which enables separating the yield changes induced by climate change and those caused by inputs variation and technique progress, as well as examining different climate effects during each growing stage of crops. By applying the fixed effect regression model with province-level panel data of crop yields, agricultural inputs, and the monthly climate variables of temperature and precipitation from 1985 to 2015, we found that the effects of temperature generally are negative and those of precipitation generally are positive, but they vary among different growth stages for each crop. Specifically, GDDs (i.e., growing degree days) have negative effects on spring maize's yield except for the sowing and ripening stages; the effects of precipitation are negative in September for summer maize. Precipitation in December and the next April is significantly harmful to the yield of winter wheat; while, for the spring wheat, GDDs have positive effects during April and May, and precipitation has negative effects during the ripening period. In addition, we computed climate-induced losses based on the climate-crop yield relationship, which demonstrated a strong tendency for increasing yield losses for all crops, with large interannual fluctuations. Comparatively, the long-term climate effects on yields of spring maize, summer maize, and spring wheat are more noticeable than those of winter wheat. |
| 2020 | |
| 卷号 | 2020 |
| DOI | 10.1155/2020/9424327 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 引用统计 | |
| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 条目标识符 | http://ir.casisd.cn/handle/190111/9754 |
| 专题 | 中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院 学部咨询研究支撑中心 智库建设研究部 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zhu, Yongbin,Shi, Yajuan,Liu, Changxin,et al. Reinspecting the Climate-Crop Yields Relationship at a Finer Scale and the Climate Damage Evaluation: Evidence from China[J]. COMPLEXITY,2020,2020. |
| APA | Zhu, Yongbin,Shi, Yajuan,Liu, Changxin,Lyu, Bing,&Wang, Zhenbo.(2020).Reinspecting the Climate-Crop Yields Relationship at a Finer Scale and the Climate Damage Evaluation: Evidence from China.COMPLEXITY,2020. |
| MLA | Zhu, Yongbin,et al."Reinspecting the Climate-Crop Yields Relationship at a Finer Scale and the Climate Damage Evaluation: Evidence from China".COMPLEXITY 2020(2020). |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 文献类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| 2020 Reinspecting th（1268KB） | 期刊论文 | 作者接受稿 | 开放获取 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | |
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